Chamblee54

The traditional chant for re-election is “four more years.” Yesterday, the wait for the election was four more weeks. This nightmare election is almost over. If someone had made this up, they would be laughed at. Reality is bad fiction.
As Al Gore knows, the Presidency is decided by electoral votes. You do not vote for DJT or HRC. You vote for electors, whose identity is a google proof secret. These people elect the President. If Georgia goes Republican, then you vote for DJT. Tell your SJW neighbor they are voting for DJT, like it or not. Despite recent Democrat gains, Georgia is So Red It Glows (SRIG.)
In 2008, a dark skinned man ran for President. Georgia voters are roughly 30% black. If BHO got 90% of that vote, that is 27% of the vote. For BHO to take Georgia, he needed 32% of the non-black vote. Mitt Romney won 53% of the overall Georgia vote. In other words, BHO could not get 32% of the non black vote, and came up seriously short.
GeorgiaPol had a story today, Is There A “Dire Risk” of Trump Losing Georgia? “… the conventional wisdom says that private polling done by the parties is more accurate than public polls. … And those party polls are by definition not public…” There was a comment: “… Clinton pulled her advertising from Georgia a couple of weeks ago.” That should tell you something.
According to fivethirtyeight, HRC has a 32.5% chance of winning Georgia. 538 changes the map several times daily. Arizona went blue today. The Georgia score was 20% when PG first started to follow 538, so 32% is a blue improvement.
Conventional wisdom (oxymoron alert) has it that the swing states will decide the election. These are states which are not considered true blue (California, New York) or SRIG (Texas.) Politico says these states are Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin. As this post is written, all the swing states are going to HRC.
The last three weeks have been wild at 538. When PG first started following, Florida (29 e votes), North Carolina(15), and Ohio (18) were red. First Florida, then North Carolina, then Ohio went for Hillary. 538 calls Florida 73% certain to vote for HRC, North Carolina 70%, and Ohio 67%. Pennsylvania, another purple favorite, is leaning 88.8% for HRC. These numbers may change by the time this feature is posted, or when DJT opens his mouth.
The problem is the Senate and House. In Georgia, alleged Klansman Johnny Isakson is coasting to an easy re-election, over some little known Democrat. In District 6, Tom Price is assured of re-election. Until writing this post, PG had never heard the name of the Democrat candidate for District 6. The name is Rodney Stooksbury. This is not supposed to be funny.
Pictures today are from The Library of Congress.